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Massive breakthrough in AI intelligence: OpenAI passes IQ 120
OpenAI's new "o1" model may have an IQ as high as 120
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Maxim Lott
6
Can polling bias help predict the election?
Answer: Not so much. But maybe watch out for Wisconsin
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Maxim Lott
3

August 2024

Where is your vote worth the most?
Mapping the importance of different votes in the US presidential election
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Maxim Lott
11
Betting markets were right, and I was wrong, about Biden dropping out
2024: Betting Markets 1, Maxim Lott 0
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Maxim Lott
13

July 2024

The Betting Odds Rollercoaster
Wild swings in the betting odds
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Maxim Lott
3
Why Biden won't drop out
Look at it from his perspective!
 • 
Maxim Lott
16
Bettors say Biden should bow out
Also, do bettors listen to Nate Silver?
 • 
Maxim Lott
10

June 2024

Prediction Markets' Legal Case
Why prediction markets in America are likely to survive
 • 
Maxim Lott
6
A Lost Lesson of Covid: Ventilate!
Make the indoors more like the outdoors to prevent airborne diseases
 • 
Maxim Lott
5

May 2024

Data dive: Money does not buy much happiness
What leads to happiness, according to studies
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Maxim Lott
30
"Left" and "right" are valid concepts, but don't forget libertarians
An asterisk to Yglesias's defense of "left" and "right", plus interesting history about the Marquis De Lafayette
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Maxim Lott
35
Government to Ban All US Election Betting
The ban would greatly slow, but not end, global progress on prediction markets
 • 
Maxim Lott
21
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