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The Betting Odds Rollercoaster
Wild swings in the betting odds
Jul 19
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Maxim Lott
15
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The Betting Odds Rollercoaster
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Why Biden won't drop out
Look at it from his perspective!
Jul 13
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Maxim Lott
29
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Why Biden won't drop out
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Bettors say Biden should bow out
Also, do bettors listen to Nate Silver?
Jul 1
•
Maxim Lott
15
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Bettors say Biden should bow out
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June 2024
Prediction Markets' Legal Case
Why prediction markets in America are likely to survive
Jun 10
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Maxim Lott
15
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Prediction Markets' Legal Case
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A Lost Lesson of Covid: Ventilate!
Make the indoors more like the outdoors to prevent airborne diseases
Jun 3
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Maxim Lott
17
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A Lost Lesson of Covid: Ventilate!
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5
May 2024
Data dive: Money does not buy much happiness
What leads to happiness, according to studies
May 27
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Maxim Lott
30
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Data dive: Money does not buy much happiness
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30
"Left" and "right" are valid concepts, but don't forget libertarians
An asterisk to Yglesias's defense of "left" and "right", plus interesting history about the Marquis De Lafayette
May 20
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Maxim Lott
15
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"Left" and "right" are valid concepts, but don't forget libertarians
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Government to Ban All US Election Betting
The ban would greatly slow, but not end, global progress on prediction markets
May 10
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Maxim Lott
33
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Government to Ban All US Election Betting
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21
AI IQ scores (mostly) confirmed, using new offline IQ test
Major AIs suffer 8% loss on novel questions; all AIs have 20% loss
May 6
•
Maxim Lott
13
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AI IQ scores (mostly) confirmed, using new offline IQ test
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April 2024
AI Marches On (March AI Updates)
Here's what happened with AI in March
Apr 1
•
Maxim Lott
36
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AI Marches On (March AI Updates)
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March 2024
Epicurus, the First "Rationalist"?
AI is decoding ancient scrolls from Epicureans -- what's that philosophy about?
Mar 15
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Maxim Lott
11
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Epicurus, the First "Rationalist"?
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AIs ranked by IQ; AI passes 100 IQ for first time, with release of Claude-3
When AIs are given "special accommodations" in an IQ test, as if they were blind people, their scores improve
Mar 5
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Maxim Lott
37
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AIs ranked by IQ; AI passes 100 IQ for first time, with release of Claude-3
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