Very interesting, and I do find bettors somewhat better indicators than polls. But bettors also seem to be a lot like the stock market and move on rumors as much as thoughtful contemplation.
I still think too many people have too much to lose if Biden drops out. Not just Biden and his family.
And I also believe if Biden is perceived (and in all likelihood will be so preceived) to have been pushed out by Big Money and Party Leaders whoever replaces him won't benefit as much as they could.
I think the 'best' replacement candidates are now more than willing to sit back and watch either Biden or Harris lose and make their play in 2028.
Finally, I truly believe nominating Newsom would enrage enough Black voters for him to lose the election.
Agree with your odds. I think Biden will drop out this week.
My way of betting on this is buying $KAMA on Solana. (Classic $BODEN if you're bullish on Biden staying on though). Can still go to zero but upside is much greater since low mc.
Very interesting, and I do find bettors somewhat better indicators than polls. But bettors also seem to be a lot like the stock market and move on rumors as much as thoughtful contemplation.
I still think too many people have too much to lose if Biden drops out. Not just Biden and his family.
And I also believe if Biden is perceived (and in all likelihood will be so preceived) to have been pushed out by Big Money and Party Leaders whoever replaces him won't benefit as much as they could.
I think the 'best' replacement candidates are now more than willing to sit back and watch either Biden or Harris lose and make their play in 2028.
Finally, I truly believe nominating Newsom would enrage enough Black voters for him to lose the election.
It will be Harris. There was never a good chance of it being anyone else beside Biden or Harris.
If I'm anyone but Harris and want to be president, its a lot easier to wait till 2028.
Agree with your odds. I think Biden will drop out this week.
My way of betting on this is buying $KAMA on Solana. (Classic $BODEN if you're bullish on Biden staying on though). Can still go to zero but upside is much greater since low mc.