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Joseph McCoskrie's avatar

After reading the article on The Hill about your findings or views, and reviewing your current survey of the situation, several questions come to mind. Do you have access to Ukrainian and Russian army Orders of Battle to more realistically analyze casualty reports and their effects on each side's readiness? Do you employ a conceptual framework for measuring success of each side's operational plans (EX: Principles of War, Centers of Gravity)? If Ukraine's overmatched army has successfully stalled a much larger force, what factors (leadership, training, motivation, external support - wpns like javelin, stinger) are the most decisive? Intel sources to date estimate around 7000 in 3 weeks yet only a handful of cities have fallen. The prize, Kiev, could revisit a repeat of Stalingrad. vmi74@aol.com

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Maxim Lott's avatar

No, I do not have special access to any of that. I can only follow public reports of troop movements, and I also have some clue regarding the daily reality on the ground inside post-war Russia (not inside post-war Ukraine) and Russian history. I think this is an important perspective to share, but I also want to be clear about what I don’t have special knowledge on.

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