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Chuck Flounder's avatar

Good essay! Food for thought. There are so many ways that people can be compartmentalized, it makes me skeptical about a fracturing of the USA into red and blue states. I don't see that as a real possibility, but I do foresee states becoming economically detached from the federal govt, which is maybe for the best. The way the feds bribe states with Monopoly money is detrimental to both the federal and state fiscal health. And it seems that left & right populism are threatening the viability of our top-down governance. The Swiss have a better system, I think.

Another approach I think about often is libertarian vs authoritarian, rather than left or right; which is what I was referring to when I used the word populism above. Yglesias seems biased when he uses the terms "God-given hierarchy" which sounds authoritarian, vs "equality and reason" which sound libertarian. But that's a red herring for the left, isn't it?

Here's how I would describe it: The right, broadly, sees society as a hierarchy of moral discipline, not necessarily religious, but often. Authority flows from serious-minded militants, whose mandate is to ensure law & order for the safety of the citizenry. If God is at the apex of the pyramid, it happens to be a God with traditional values. The left, broadly, favors expansive freedom of expression, but really for their own kind these days. They profess concern with equality and justice, but don't seem to be interested in property rights, except for their own and those of the lower caste. Note that both left and right are wary of free speech for their opponents, and both fall for populist rhetoric: On the left, populism looks like Marxist redistribution and class warfare; on the right it looks like Judeo-Christian nationalism.

The main thing that concerns me these days [besides the leftist insanity on college campuses and the curious aversion to seeing the rising threat from radical Islam, which is violently opposed to all the Enlightenment values of western democracies] is the mockery of libertarians from both left and right politicians and pundits, and the constant criticism of capitalism trotted out by its chief beneficiaries. I feel like we are witnessing a historic tidal wave of the sort that causes nations to "sleepwalk" into war. Of course, it only seems like sleepwalking from a distant vantage point; when you're caught up in the tidal wave, it seems inevitable.

It's no coincidence that the French Revolution led to the Reign of Terror, nor that Orwell saw the left as the greater danger--despite being a socialist at heart his entire life. His experience in the Spanish Civil War soured him on the reality of human nature to a great degree; at least that's what I got from reading Animal Farm. After the events of the past four years, the leftist claim on "equality & reason" is looking rather dubious. Hard to say where things went wrong...was it Bernie becoming a millionaire by publishing a best-selling book on the evils of capitalism? Was it when progressives decreed that Asians no longer deserve "oppressed minority" status in school admissions? Or when they decided that antisemitism can only be condemned in some elaborate, unspecified context?

It seems we are at a point where the right in America [and hopefully Europe] needs to reassert their position, and I hope they don't take it too far. But freedom--and acceptance of libertarians like you and me--is conditional upon some degree of public order. When I read a critique of Javier Milei by a Latin American journalist in Reason Magazine, I was glad that she told the truth: Nobody can waltz into a cronyist bureaucracy like that and start flipping tables like Jesus in the temple. Not that you'd even have enough insider support to get elected if you were really as libertarian as Milei claims to be. But at least he's heading in the right direction, which is a major step for the subcontinent. I was a bit disappointed with her rebuke of Bukele in El Salvador. He has, in fact, taken over the government in an illiberal fashion--but compared to the days when gangsters could do whatever they wanted to any hapless citizen, it's paradise now. I sure hope that Milei doesn't become a cynical caricature of a Ted Nugent faux libertarian, and I hope Bukele doesn't turn into Pinochet. But what was the alternative in either case? Corrupt oligarchs drove Argentina into the ground, and the gangs that took over from the revolutionaries of past wars destroyed El Salvador. Latin America tends to lean socialist, but I'm not sure whether that's cultural [like the misguided ramblings of popes], or whether it's a reaction to all the bad behavior of American corporations [more mercantilist than capitalist] in the 20th century.

But I think a new day is dawning in Latin America, in which they see free-market capitalism as their path to progress. I really hope so, and as a libertarian I hope that Americans can realize that the drug war we have been pursuing since Nixon has undermined Latin America's potential for prosperity, and has driven millions of migrants across our border--including unknown numbers of gang members. I don't agree with many of today's libertarian purists, either; I think it's naive to cling to principles when they become untenable.

I think America's libertarian ethos of unrestricted immigration and military isolationism are reliant on having vast open territories where ethnic enclaves have plenty of breathing room, an economy that needed massive amounts of unskilled labor for a long time, and the good fortune of having secure borders due to geographical fortune--as well as fantastically abundant natural resources. Now that all of those underlying assumptions have changed dramatically, it might be time to update our ideals for the future. Unfortunately, too many people [including libertarians] confuse border security with opposition to immigration, and our history of colonial exploits with intelligent defense strategy. And by defense, I mean not only within US territory, but forming cooperative alliances with our ideological partners and behaving responsibly.

As Kissinger famously said, "To be an enemy of the US can be dangerous, but to be a friend can be fatal." Yet we don't need to continue our errors of the past, which damaged our reputation for the benefit of the power brokers. Nor do we need to be isolationists, as we can no longer afford to do. The most immediate threat from China is not Taiwan, but control over the Indian Ocean and South China Sea. It was not only nuclear detente that resulted in peace between the world powers since 1945, it was also the globalization of commerce--which relied indisputably on the US Navy as the thin blue line standing against state-sponsored piracy. We've seen what that looks like when Somalia is the sponsoring state; I'm not keen to see what it looks like when the CCP controls the waves. Their incursions on foreign fishing rights are a mild harbinger of things to come, if we lose our hegemony.

Sorry, I guess I should be writing my own blog, not blowing up yours with my brain farts...

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William H Stoddard's avatar

Another way to look at this would be in terms of Emmanuel Tod's ideas about family structure as a model for politics. In exogamic societies (endogamic societies like much of the Arab world are a different case), you have the son either remaining under the father's control or setting up separately; and you have one son preeminent or all sons equal. Call the first two A, a and the second two B, b. Then you have four cases: AB (which Tod says is found in Germany and Japan), Ab (Russia and China), aB (the Anglosphere), and ab (France). (Tod actually has a much more detailed map of regional patterns.) Tod started out by noting that the countries that have adopted communism by internal processes, rather than having it imposed on them at gunpoint, are all Ab: their model of a family is that all the sons are equal and all subject to authority. He draws out political implications for the other three also. It seems as if the "right" would fit AB, and the "left" would fit ab.

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